# Estramil vs Guillen Meza: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Estramil vs Guillen Meza". Alvaro Guillen Meza leads at 94%. Next is Thiago Estramil at 6%. $2K has traded across 2 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 29, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-15T05:43:41Z (8 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 29, 2026
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Alvaro Guillen Meza | 94% | 94% |
| Thiago Estramil | 6% | 6% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ATP](https://www.atptour.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/estramil-vs-guillen-meza
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxatpchallengermatch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/estramil-vs-guillen-meza

---
Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.