# Eurovision Asia 2026: Jury Winner: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Eurovision Asia 2026: Jury Winner". Malaysia leads at 37.9%. Next is Laos at 14.7%. $6K has traded across 11 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 15, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T15:11:00Z (6 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 15, 2026
- Volume traded: $6K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Malaysia | 37.9% | 46% |
| Laos | 14.7% | 17.9% |
| Mongolia | 14.7% | 17.9% |
| Philippines | 10.3% | 12.5% |
| Bhutan | 4.7% | 5.8% |
| Thailand | 4.5% | 5.5% |
| Cambodia | 4.1% | 5% |
| Vietnam | 4.1% | 5% |
| South Korea | 2.9% | 3.5% |
| Nepal | 1.9% | 2.3% |
| Bangladesh | 0.2% | 0.3% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.

## Settlement rules

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026 is scheduled for November 14, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country ranked first by points received from the national juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026, according to the ranking below.

Countries will be ranked according to the total number of points received from the national juries in the Grand Final. If two or more countries are tied, ties will be broken by the total number of points received from the public vote. If still tied, ties will be broken alphabetically by English country name. This market will resolve according to the country ranked first under this ranking.

If the results of the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026 are not announced by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://www.eurovision.com/asia/), including live footage of Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/eurovision-asia-2026-jury-winner
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/eurovision-asia-2026-jury-winner?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/eurovision-asia-2026-jury-winner

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.