# Eurovision Asia Winner 2026: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Eurovision Asia Winner 2026". Malaysia leads at 34%. Next is Philippines at 29.3%. $8K has traded across 11 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 15, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:10:00Z (1 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 15, 2026
- Volume traded: $8K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Malaysia | 34% | 36% | 28% | 8.0 pts |
| Philippines | 29.3% | 24% | 45% | 21.0 pts |
| Vietnam | 19.2% | 4.5% | 58% | 53.5 pts |
| South Korea | 14.9% | 12.5% | 22% | 9.5 pts |
| Thailand | 12.4% | 10.5% | 13% | 2.5 pts |
| Cambodia | 10.6% | 14% | 4% | 10.0 pts |
| Laos | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9% | 0.8 pts |
| Bhutan | 7.6% | 1.6% | 15% | 13.4 pts |
| Bangladesh | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6% | 0.9 pts |
| Mongolia | 5% | 3.6% | 6% | 2.5 pts |
| Nepal | 3.5% | 2% | 5% | 3.0 pts |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [MS Now](https://www.ms.now/), [The Wall Street Journal](https://www.wsj.com/), [ABC](https://abcnews.go.com/).

## Settlement rules

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026 is scheduled for November 14, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country ranked first in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026, according to the ranking below.

Countries will be ranked according to their official competition ranking in the Grand Final. If two or more countries share the same ranking, ties will be broken by the total number of points received. If still tied, ties will be broken by the total number of points received from the national juries. If still tied, ties will be broken by the total number of points received from the public vote. If still tied, ties will be broken alphabetically by English country name. This market will resolve according to the country ranked first under this ranking.

If the results of the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026 are not announced by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://www.eurovision.com/asia/), including live footage of Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/eurovision-asia-winner-2026
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/eurovision-asia-winner-2026?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxeurovisionasia?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/eurovision-asia-winner-2026

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.