# Evan Elder vs. Samuel Sanches: Round of Victory: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Evan Elder vs. Samuel Sanches: Round of Victory". O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 71.5%. Next is O/U 1.5 Rounds at 60.5%. $16K has traded across 26 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 28, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T09:25:40Z (9 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 28, 2026
- Volume traded: $16K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 71.5% | 71.5% | — | not on both |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 60.5% | 60.5% | — | not on both |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Evan Elder vs. Samuel Sanches | 47.5% | 47.5% | — | not on both |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 44.5% | 44.5% | — | not on both |
| Ends before Round 3? | 44% | 44% | — | not on both |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 44% | 44% | — | not on both |
| Decision / Draw / No Contest | 43.5% | — | 43.5% | not on both |
| Decision or Draw | 43.5% | 43.5% | — | not on both |
| Fight won by decision? | 42.5% | 42.5% | — | not on both |
| Sanches to win by KO/TKO? | 32.5% | 32.5% | — | not on both |
| Elder to win by KO/TKO? | 29% | 29% | — | not on both |
| Sanches in Round 1 | 29% | 29% | — | not on both |
| Sanches in Round 2 | 28.5% | 28.5% | — | not on both |
| Fight won by submission? | 27% | 27% | — | not on both |
| Elder in Round 1 | 26.5% | 26.5% | — | not on both |
| Elder in Round 2 | 26.5% | 26.5% | — | not on both |
| Elder in Round 3 | 26.5% | 26.5% | — | not on both |
| Sanches in Round 3 | 26.5% | 26.5% | — | not on both |
| Ends before Round 2? | 23% | 23% | — | not on both |
| Samuel Sanches to win in Round 1 | 14% | — | 14% | not on both |
| Samuel Sanches to win in Round 2 | 10.5% | — | 10.5% | not on both |
| Evan Elder to win in Round 1 | 10% | — | 10% | not on both |
| Samuel Sanches to win in Round 3 | 9% | — | 9% | not on both |
| Evan Elder to win in Round 2 | 7% | — | 7% | not on both |
| Evan Elder to win in Round 3 | 7% | — | 7% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [ufc.com](https://www.ufc.com/events).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com), [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com), [Paramount+](https://www.paramountplus.com/home/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/evan-elder-vs-samuel-sanches-round-of-victory
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-eva1-sam13-2026-11-14?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcvicround?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/evan-elder-vs-samuel-sanches-round-of-victory

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.