# F1 Drivers' Champion: 2nd Place: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "F1 Drivers' Champion: 2nd Place". Max Verstappen leads at 67.6%. Next is Lewis Hamilton at 10.3%. $2K has traded across 7 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 6, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:57:00Z (6 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 6, 2026
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Max Verstappen | 67.6% | 80.5% |
| Lewis Hamilton | 10.3% | 12.3% |
| George Russell | 9.2% | 11% |
| Charles Leclerc | 8.8% | 10.5% |
| Lando Norris | 2.3% | 2.7% |
| Kimi Antonelli | 1% | 1.3% |
| Oscar Piastri | 0.8% | 0.9% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 2nd in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for second place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine final positions in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship standings.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to finish 2nd in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship standings based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/f1-drivers-champion-2nd-place
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-f1-drivers-champion-2nd-place?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/f1-drivers-champion-2nd-place

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.
