# Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri". Lima: Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri leads at 99.5%. Next is Lima: Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri at 71.5%. $72K has traded across 13 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 23, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-09T19:53:20Z (10 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 23, 2026
- Volume traded: $72K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Lima: Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri | 99.5% | 99.5% | — | not on both |
| Lima: Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri | 71.5% | 71.5% | — | not on both |
| Lima: Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri | 66.5% | 66.5% | — | not on both |
| Lima: Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri | 56.5% | 56.5% | — | not on both |
| Facundo Mena | 56% | — | 56% | not on both |
| Completed Match | 55% | 55% | — | not on both |
| Lima: Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Lima: Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Lima: Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Lima: Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Lima: Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Max Alcala Gurri | 44% | — | 44% | not on both |
| Lima: Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri | 0.4% | 0.4% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [atptour.com](https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ATP](https://www.atptour.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/facundo-mena-vs-max-alcala-gurri
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-mena-gurri-2026-11-09?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxatpchallengermatch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/facundo-mena-vs-max-alcala-gurri

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.