# FIDE Blitz Top Chess Players: Top 10 Rated in December 2026: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "FIDE Blitz Top Chess Players: Top 10 Rated in December 2026". Hikaru Nakamura leads at 96.5%. Next is Magnus Carlsen at 96.5%. $1K has traded across 20 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 7, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-06T20:18:03Z (8 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 7, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Hikaru Nakamura | 96.5% | 96.5% |
| Magnus Carlsen | 96.5% | 96.5% |
| Nodirbek Abdusattorov | 96.5% | 96.5% |
| Alireza Firouzja | 96% | 96% |
| Daniil Dubov | 95% | 95% |
| Arjun Erigaisi | 91% | 91% |
| Ian Nepomniachtchi | 91% | 91% |
| Wesley So | 77% | 77% |
| Fabiano Caruana | 62% | 62% |
| Maxime Vachier-Lagrave | 56% | 56% |
| Vladimir Fedoseev | 25% | 25% |
| Javokhir Sindarov | 17% | 17% |
| Ding Liren | 13% | 13% |
| Nihal Sarin | 12% | 12% |
| Yu Yangyi | 9% | 9% |
| Bu Xiangzhi | 8% | 8% |
| Levon Aronian | 6% | 6% |
| Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa | 5.5% | 5.5% |
| Hans Moke Niemann | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Vladislav Artemiev | 3.5% | 3.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [FIDE World Top Players](https://ratings.fide.com/top_lists.phtml?list=open).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/fide-blitz-top-chess-players-top-10-rated-in-december-2026
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxchessfideratingtop?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/fide-blitz-top-chess-players-top-10-rated-in-december-2026

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.