# FIDE Blitz Top Chess Players: Top 5 Rated in December 2026: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "FIDE Blitz Top Chess Players: Top 5 Rated in December 2026". Magnus Carlsen leads at 97.5%. Next is Hikaru Nakamura at 96.5%. $1K has traded across 20 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 7, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-12T04:45:05Z (9 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 7, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Magnus Carlsen | 97.5% | 97.5% |
| Hikaru Nakamura | 96.5% | 96.5% |
| Alireza Firouzja | 90.5% | 90.5% |
| Daniil Dubov | 90% | 90% |
| Nodirbek Abdusattorov | 76% | 76% |
| Maxime Vachier-Lagrave | 13.5% | 13.5% |
| Arjun Erigaisi | 12.5% | 12.5% |
| Ian Nepomniachtchi | 9.5% | 9.5% |
| Fabiano Caruana | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Levon Aronian | 3% | 3% |
| Bu Xiangzhi | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Ding Liren | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Hans Moke Niemann | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Javokhir Sindarov | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Nihal Sarin | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Vladimir Fedoseev | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Vladislav Artemiev | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Wesley So | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Yu Yangyi | 2.5% | 2.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [FIDE World Top Players](https://ratings.fide.com/top_lists.phtml?list=open).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/fide-blitz-top-chess-players-top-5-rated-in-december-2026
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxchessfideratingtop?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/fide-blitz-top-chess-players-top-5-rated-in-december-2026

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.