# Finland vs San Marino: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Finland vs San Marino". Tie leads at 40%. Next is Finland 0 - 0 San Marino at 37.5%. $46K has traded across 40 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 17, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:04:00Z (3 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 17, 2026
- Volume traded: $46K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Tie | 40% | — | 40% | not on both |
| Finland 0 - 0 San Marino | 37.5% | 37.5% | — | not on both |
| Finland 0 - 4 San Marino | 37.5% | 37.5% | — | not on both |
| Finland 5 - 3 San Marino | 37.5% | 37.5% | — | not on both |
| Finland 0 - 2 San Marino | 37% | 37% | — | not on both |
| Finland 0 - 3 San Marino | 37% | 37% | — | not on both |
| Finland 0 - 5 San Marino | 37% | 37% | — | not on both |
| Finland 1 - 3 San Marino | 37% | 37% | — | not on both |
| Finland 1 - 4 San Marino | 37% | 37% | — | not on both |
| Finland 1 - 5 San Marino | 37% | 37% | — | not on both |
| Finland 2 - 0 San Marino | 37% | 37% | — | not on both |
| Finland 2 - 4 San Marino | 37% | 37% | — | not on both |
| Finland 2 - 5 San Marino | 37% | 37% | — | not on both |
| Finland 3 - 0 San Marino | 37% | 37% | — | not on both |
| Finland 3 - 1 San Marino | 37% | 37% | — | not on both |
| Finland 3 - 5 San Marino | 37% | 37% | — | not on both |
| Finland 4 - 0 San Marino | 37% | 37% | — | not on both |
| Finland 4 - 1 San Marino | 37% | 37% | — | not on both |
| Finland 4 - 2 San Marino | 37% | 37% | — | not on both |
| Finland 5 - 0 San Marino | 37% | 37% | — | not on both |
| Finland 5 - 1 San Marino | 37% | 37% | — | not on both |
| Finland 5 - 2 San Marino | 37% | 37% | — | not on both |
| Finland 5 - 5 San Marino | 28.5% | 28.5% | — | not on both |
| Finland 3 - 2 San Marino | 27.5% | 27.5% | — | not on both |
| Finland 2 - 2 San Marino | 27% | 27% | — | not on both |
| Finland 3 - 3 San Marino | 27% | 27% | — | not on both |
| Finland 4 - 4 San Marino | 27% | 27% | — | not on both |
| Finland 4 - 3 San Marino | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Finland 1 - 0 San Marino | 24% | 24% | — | not on both |
| Any Other Score | 23.5% | 23.5% | — | not on both |
| Finland 0 - 1 San Marino | 23.5% | 23.5% | — | not on both |
| Finland 2 - 1 San Marino | 21.5% | 21.5% | — | not on both |
| Finland 1 - 2 San Marino | 19% | 19% | — | not on both |
| Finland 2 - 3 San Marino | 17.5% | 17.5% | — | not on both |
| Finland 1 - 1 San Marino | 15% | 15% | — | not on both |
| Finland 3 - 4 San Marino | 13.5% | 13.5% | — | not on both |
| Finland 4 - 5 San Marino | 13.5% | 13.5% | — | not on both |
| Finland 5 - 4 San Marino | 13.5% | 13.5% | — | not on both |
| Finland | 13% | — | 13% | not on both |
| San Marino | 4% | — | 4% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [uefa.com](https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com/), [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/finland-vs-san-marino
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/unl-fin-smr-2026-11-15-exact-score?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxuefanlgame?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/finland-vs-san-marino

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.