# First Solar module volume sold in Q1 2027: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "First Solar module volume sold in Q1 2027". Above 2400 mw leads at 93%. Next is Above 2600 mw at 89%. $6K has traded across 11 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 28, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T12:49:00Z (2 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 28, 2027
- Volume traded: $6K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: economics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Above 2400 mw | 93% | 93% |
| Above 2600 mw | 89% | 89% |
| Above 2800 mw | 89% | 89% |
| Above 3000 mw | 85% | 85% |
| Above 3200 mw | 82% | 82% |
| Above 3400 mw | 65% | 65% |
| Above 3600 mw | 51% | 51% |
| Above 3800 mw | 37% | 37% |
| Above 4000 mw | 23.5% | 23.5% |
| Above 4200 mw | 16.5% | 16.5% |
| Above 4400 mw | 11.5% | 11.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Fiscal.ai](https://fiscal.ai).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/first-solar-module-volume-sold-in-q1-2027
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfslr?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/first-solar-module-volume-sold-in-q1-2027

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.