# Flamengo vs Gremio: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Flamengo vs Gremio". Flamengo leads at 85.5%. Next is Draw at 9.7%. $43K has traded across 3 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 6, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T20:57:00Z (1 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 6, 2026
- Volume traded: $43K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Flamengo | 85.5% | 85.5% | 86.5% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10% | 0.5 pts |
| Gremio | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5% | 0.5 pts |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [cbf.com.br](https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/campeonato-brasileiro-serie-a).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com/), [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/flamengo-vs-gremio
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/bra-fla-gre-2026-11-04?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrasileirogame?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/flamengo-vs-gremio

---
Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.