# Florida Republican Senate nominee? (2028): prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Florida Republican Senate nominee? (2028)". Ashley Moody leads at 85.2%. Next is Casey DeSantis at 2.7%. $2K has traded across 7 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 7, 2028.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-12T22:49:25Z (12 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 7, 2028
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Ashley Moody | 85.2% | 83% |
| Casey DeSantis | 2.7% | 2.7% |
| Ron DeSantis | 2.6% | 2.6% |
| Dan Bongino | 2.4% | 2.4% |
| James Uthmeier | 2.4% | 2.4% |
| Jay Collins | 2.4% | 2.4% |
| Lara Trump | 2.3% | 2.3% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Republican Party of Florida](https://www.rpof.org/), [Associated Press](https://apnews.com), [Decision Desk HQ](https://decisiondeskhq.com/results/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/florida-republican-senate-nominee-2028
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenatenom?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/florida-republican-senate-nominee-2028

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.