# Florida's 20th District margin of victory: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Florida's 20th District margin of victory". Wasserman Schultz, 31+ pts leads at 99.5%. Next is Wasserman Schultz, 34+ pts at 99.3%. $57K has traded across 20 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T20:07:00Z (1 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 3, 2027
- Volume traded: $57K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Wasserman Schultz, 31+ pts | 99.5% | — | 99.5% | not on both |
| Wasserman Schultz, 34+ pts | 99.3% | — | 99.3% | not on both |
| Wasserman Schultz, 40+ pts | 99.3% | — | 99.3% | not on both |
| Wasserman Schultz, 43+ pts | 99.3% | — | 99.3% | not on both |
| Wasserman Schultz, 37+ pts | 99.1% | — | 99.1% | not on both |
| Wasserman Schultz, 46+ pts | 99.1% | — | 99.1% | not on both |
| Democrat 50-55% | 98.5% | 98.5% | — | not on both |
| Wasserman Schultz, 49+ pts | 97.1% | — | 97.1% | not on both |
| Wasserman Schultz, 52+ pts | 95% | — | 95% | not on both |
| Wasserman Schultz, 55+ pts | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Democrat 45-50% | 0.9% | 0.9% | — | not on both |
| Wasserman Schultz, 58+ pts | 0.8% | — | 0.8% | not on both |
| Democrat 55-60% | 0.5% | 0.5% | — | not on both |
| Democrat 60%+ | 0.4% | 0.4% | — | not on both |
| Democrat 0-20% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | not on both |
| Democrat 20-30% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | not on both |
| Democrat 30-35% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | not on both |
| Democrat 35-40% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | not on both |
| Democrat 40-45% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | not on both |
| Republican Wins | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Florida Division of Elections](https://dos.fl.gov/elections).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/floridas-20th-district-margin-of-victory
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/fl-20-house-margin-of-victory-2026?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/floridas-20th-district-margin-of-victory

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.