# France credit rating downgrade in 2026?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "France credit rating downgrade in 2026?". Yes leads at 52%. $2K has traded across 1 outcome on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T15:09:00Z (6 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 1, 2027
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: economics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Yes | 52% | 52% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Semafor](https://www.semafor.com/), [ABC](https://abcnews.go.com/), [Bloomberg](https://www.bloomberg.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/france-credit-rating-downgrade-in-2026
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfrancedowngrade?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/france-credit-rating-downgrade-in-2026

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.