# French presidential election delayed?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "French presidential election delayed?". Yes leads at 7%. $1K has traded across 1 outcome on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Apr 19, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-08T18:08:00Z (1 d ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Apr 19, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Yes | 7% | 7% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.

## Settlement rules

The first round of the French presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on April 18, 2027, with a potential second round set for May 2, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency is rescheduled to take place after April 18, 2027, or otherwise does not take place by April 18, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary source of resolution for this market will be official information from the French government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/french-presidential-election-delayed
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/french-presidential-election-delayed?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/french-presidential-election-delayed

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.
