# French Presidential Election: United Right & Center Primary Announced?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "French Presidential Election: United Right & Center Primary Announced?". Yes leads at 67.5%. $1K has traded across 1 outcome on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Apr 18, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-12T23:11:25Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: Apr 18, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Yes | 67.5% | 67.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.

## Settlement rules

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in France on April 18, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between this market's creation and April 17, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the holding of a united right and center primary for the first round of this election is officially announced. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a "united right and center primary" is a primary election whose holding is officially announced jointly by Les Républicains and at least one of Renaissance or Horizons, and whose purpose is to designate a single candidate supported by all organizing parties in the first round of this election.

An official announcement requires that each qualifying party (Les Républicains, and Renaissance and/or Horizons) publicly confirms its participation in organizing the primary, e.g., by a decision of its leadership or governing body or a signed agreement between the parties. Statements merely proposing, calling for, agreeing in principle to, or negotiating a primary will not qualify.

A primary organized without Les Républicains, or without either Renaissance or Horizons, will not qualify, regardless of which other parties participate. Whether the primary is subsequently held will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed parties; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/french-presidential-election-united-right-center-primary-announced
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/french-presidential-election-united-right-center-primary-announced?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/french-presidential-election-united-right-center-primary-announced

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.