# Fresno St. vs Texas St.: Spread: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Fresno St. vs Texas St.: Spread". Texas St. wins by over 1.5 points leads at 74%. Next is Texas St. wins by over 2.5 points at 72%. $12K has traded across 31 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 16, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-09T22:13:20Z (9 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 16, 2026
- Volume traded: $12K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Texas St. wins by over 1.5 points | 74% | 74% |
| Texas St. wins by over 2.5 points | 72% | 72% |
| Texas St. wins by over 3.5 points | 66% | 66% |
| Texas St. wins by over 4.5 points | 63% | 63% |
| Texas St. wins by over 5.5 points | 61% | 61% |
| Texas St. wins by over 6.5 points | 61% | 61% |
| Texas St. wins by over 7.5 points | 55% | 55% |
| Texas St. wins by over 9.5 points | 48% | 48% |
| Texas St. wins by over 10.5 points | 44% | 44% |
| Texas St. wins by over 11.5 points | 41.5% | 41.5% |
| Texas St. wins by over 13.5 points | 38.5% | 38.5% |
| Texas St. wins by over 14.5 points | 34.5% | 34.5% |
| Texas St. wins by over 16.5 points | 31.5% | 31.5% |
| Texas St. wins by over 17.5 points | 28.5% | 28.5% |
| Texas St. wins by over 20.5 points | 23% | 23% |
| Fresno St. wins by over 1.5 points | 22.5% | 22.5% |
| Fresno St. wins by over 2.5 points | 21.5% | 21.5% |
| Texas St. wins by over 21.5 points | 20.5% | 20.5% |
| Texas St. wins by over 23.5 points | 18.5% | 18.5% |
| Fresno St. wins by over 3.5 points | 17% | 17% |
| Texas St. wins by over 24.5 points | 16% | 16% |
| Fresno St. wins by over 4.5 points | 15.5% | 15.5% |
| Fresno St. wins by over 5.5 points | 15% | 15% |
| Fresno St. wins by over 6.5 points | 13% | 13% |
| Texas St. wins by over 27.5 points | 11% | 11% |
| Fresno St. wins by over 7.5 points | 10% | 10% |
| Fresno St. wins by over 9.5 points | 8% | 8% |
| Fresno St. wins by over 10.5 points | 7% | 7% |
| Fresno St. wins by over 11.5 points | 7% | 7% |
| Fresno St. wins by over 13.5 points | 6% | 6% |
| Fresno St. wins by over 14.5 points | 5% | 5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com), [Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA](https://www.ncaa.com/sports/football/fbs).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/fresno-st-vs-texas-st-spread
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/fresno-st-vs-texas-st-spread

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.