# Gemini app downloads in November 2026: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Gemini app downloads in November 2026". Above 106.5 leads at 98%. Next is Above 156.5 at 82%. $2K has traded across 8 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 8, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:14:00Z (3 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 8, 2026
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: economics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Above 106.5 | 98% | 98% |
| Above 156.5 | 82% | 82% |
| Above 188 | 68% | 68% |
| Above 221.5 | 37% | 37% |
| Above 259.5 | 10.5% | 10.5% |
| Above 305.5 | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Above 367 | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Above 538.5 | 1.5% | 1.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Carbon Arc](https://www.carbonarc.co/prisms?prism=fba7a204-cb75-490a-b49b-d8595b986eff&entity=Google+Gemini).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/gemini-app-downloads-in-november-2026
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeminiapp?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/gemini-app-downloads-in-november-2026

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.