# Georgia's 4th District margin of victory: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Georgia's 4th District margin of victory". Johnson, 43+ pts leads at 94.6%. Next is Johnson, 58+ pts at 93.9%. $1K has traded across 9 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:17:00Z (3 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 3, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Johnson, 43+ pts | 94.6% | 94.6% |
| Johnson, 58+ pts | 93.9% | 93.9% |
| Johnson, 55+ pts | 90.9% | 90.9% |
| Johnson, 52+ pts | 90.1% | 90.1% |
| Johnson, 46+ pts | 82% | 82% |
| Johnson, 49+ pts | 80% | 80% |
| Johnson, 64+ pts | 50% | 50% |
| Johnson, 67+ pts | 50% | 50% |
| Johnson, 61+ pts | 36% | 36% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Georgia Secretary of State](https://sos.ga.gov).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/georgias-4th-district-margin-of-victory
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/georgias-4th-district-margin-of-victory

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.