# Gill vs Giunta: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Gill vs Giunta". Hersonissos 3: Felix Gill vs Massimo Giunta leads at 58.5%. Next is Felix Gill at 56%. $4K has traded across 11 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 25, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-11T07:23:05Z (4 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 25, 2026
- Volume traded: $4K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Hersonissos 3: Felix Gill vs Massimo Giunta | 58.5% | 58.5% | — | not on both |
| Felix Gill | 56% | — | 56% | not on both |
| Hersonissos 3: Felix Gill vs Massimo Giunta | 53.5% | 53.5% | — | not on both |
| Hersonissos 3: Felix Gill vs Massimo Giunta | 51% | 51% | — | not on both |
| Hersonissos 3: Felix Gill vs Massimo Giunta | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Hersonissos 3: Felix Gill vs Massimo Giunta | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Hersonissos 3: Felix Gill vs Massimo Giunta | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Massimo Giunta | 47% | — | 47% | not on both |
| Hersonissos 3: Felix Gill vs Massimo Giunta | 44% | 44% | — | not on both |
| Hersonissos 3: Felix Gill vs Massimo Giunta | 39% | 39% | — | not on both |
| Hersonissos 3: Felix Gill vs Massimo Giunta | 32.5% | 32.5% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [atptour.com](https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ATP](https://www.atptour.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/gill-vs-giunta
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-gill-giunta-2026-11-11?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxatpchallengermatch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/gill-vs-giunta

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.