# Gold price on Nov 6, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Gold price on Nov 6, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?". Above $3647.99 leads at 99.5%. Next is Above $3667.99 at 99.5%. $18K has traded across 40 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 6, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T15:23:00Z (6 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 6, 2026
- Volume traded: $18K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Above $3647.99 | 99.5% | 99.5% |
| Above $3667.99 | 99.5% | 99.5% |
| Above $3747.99 | 99.5% | 99.5% |
| Above $3607.99 | 99% | 99% |
| Above $3627.99 | 99% | 99% |
| Above $3687.99 | 99% | 99% |
| Above $3707.99 | 99% | 99% |
| Above $3727.99 | 99% | 99% |
| Above $3807.99 | 99% | 99% |
| Above $3827.99 | 99% | 99% |
| Above $3767.99 | 98% | 98% |
| Above $3787.99 | 98% | 98% |
| Above $3847.99 | 98% | 98% |
| Above $3867.99 | 98% | 98% |
| Above $3887.99 | 97% | 97% |
| Above $3907.99 | 94% | 94% |
| Above $3927.99 | 90% | 90% |
| Above $3947.99 | 87% | 87% |
| Above $3967.99 | 83% | 83% |
| Above $3987.99 | 72% | 72% |
| Above $4007.99 | 64% | 64% |
| Above $4027.99 | 51% | 51% |
| Above $4047.99 | 42% | 42% |
| Above $4067.99 | 33% | 33% |
| Above $4087.99 | 23% | 23% |
| Above $4107.99 | 16% | 16% |
| Above $4127.99 | 11% | 11% |
| Above $4147.99 | 5% | 5% |
| Above $4167.99 | 4% | 4% |
| Above $4187.99 | 3% | 3% |
| Above $4207.99 | 3% | 3% |
| Above $4227.99 | 1% | 1% |
| Above $4247.99 | 1% | 1% |
| Above $4267.99 | 1% | 1% |
| Above $4287.99 | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Above $4307.99 | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Above $4327.99 | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Above $4347.99 | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Above $4367.99 | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Above $4387.99 | 0.5% | 0.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Pyth - Gold](https://app.pyth.com/explore/Metal.Index.1OZGOLD%2FUSD?returnUrl=%2Fexplore%2Fall%3Fsearch%3D3712%26state%3Dstable).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/gold-price-on-nov-6-2026-at-500-pm-est
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgoldw?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/gold-price-on-nov-6-2026-at-500-pm-est

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.