# Golden Globe Winner: Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Golden Globe Winner: Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama". Andrew Scott leads at 31.6%. Next is Matt Damon at 30.7%. $26K has traded across 15 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 10, 2028.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:25:00Z (1 d ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 10, 2028
- Volume traded: $26K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: culture

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Andrew Scott | 31.6% | 36% |
| Matt Damon | 30.7% | 35% |
| Robert Pattinson | 6.1% | 7% |
| Jaafar Jackson | 3.5% | 4% |
| Pedro Pascal | 3.5% | 4% |
| Robert Aramayo | 3.5% | 4% |
| Sebastian Stan | 3.5% | 4% |
| John Turturro | 2.6% | 3% |
| Josh O’Connor | 2.6% | 3% |
| Sul Kyung-gu | 2.6% | 3% |
| Timothée Chalamet | 2.6% | 3% |
| Emmanuel Macchia | 1.8% | 2% |
| Guitarricadelafuente | 1.8% | 2% |
| Ryan Gosling | 1.8% | 2% |
| Tie | 1.8% | 2% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Golden Globes](https://goldenglobes.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/golden-globe-winner-best-actor-in-a-motion-picture-drama
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxggwinner?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/golden-globe-winner-best-actor-in-a-motion-picture-drama

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.