# Golden Globe Winner: Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Golden Globe Winner: Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama". Sandra Hüller leads at 39.3%. Next is Virginie Efira at 21.4%. $15K has traded across 11 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 10, 2028.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:21:00Z (3 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 10, 2028
- Volume traded: $15K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: culture

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Sandra Hüller | 39.3% | 44% |
| Virginie Efira | 21.4% | 24% |
| Renate Reinsve | 8% | 9% |
| Ruth Madeley | 8% | 9% |
| Inde Navarrette | 7.1% | 8% |
| Carrie Coon | 4.5% | 5% |
| Léa Seydoux | 3.6% | 4% |
| Jeon Do-yeon | 2.7% | 3% |
| Daisy Edgar-Jones | 1.8% | 2% |
| Mathilde Arcel | 1.8% | 2% |
| Tie | 1.8% | 2% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Golden Globes](https://goldenglobes.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/golden-globe-winner-best-actress-in-a-motion-picture-drama
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxggwinner?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/golden-globe-winner-best-actress-in-a-motion-picture-drama

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.