# Golden Globe Winner: Best Screenplay: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Golden Globe Winner: Best Screenplay". Wild Horse Nine leads at 31.8%. Next is La Bola Negra at 17.1%. $6K has traded across 11 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 10, 2028.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:05:00Z (58 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 10, 2028
- Volume traded: $6K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: culture

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Wild Horse Nine | 31.8% | 39% |
| La Bola Negra | 17.1% | 21% |
| The Invite | 13.1% | 16% |
| The Debut | 6.5% | 8% |
| The Odyssey | 5.3% | 6.5% |
| Fjord | 4.9% | 6% |
| All of a Sudden | 4.5% | 5.5% |
| Elsinore | 4.5% | 5.5% |
| Possible Love | 4.5% | 5.5% |
| Tie | 4.5% | 5.5% |
| Project Hail Mary | 3.3% | 4% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Golden Globes](https://goldenglobes.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/golden-globe-winner-best-screenplay
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxggwinner?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/golden-globe-winner-best-screenplay

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.