# Golden Globe Winner: Best Supporting Actor on TV: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Golden Globe Winner: Best Supporting Actor on TV". Guitarricadelafuente leads at 50.5%. Next is Andrew Garfield at 49.8%. $172K has traded across 36 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 10, 2028.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:06:00Z (1 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 10, 2028
- Volume traded: $172K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: culture

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Guitarricadelafuente | 50.5% | 61.5% | — | not on both |
| Andrew Garfield | 49.8% | 83% | — | not on both |
| John Leguizamo | 47.7% | 62% | — | not on both |
| Paul Giamatti | 47% | 93.5% | — | not on both |
| David Harbour | 40% | — | 40% | not on both |
| Edward Norton | 38.3% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Sam Rockwell | 25.5% | 73.5% | — | not on both |
| Stephen Root | 23% | — | 23% | not on both |
| Colman Domingo | 14.7% | 27% | 4% | — |
| Robert Pattinson | 13.7% | 32% | — | not on both |
| Steve Buscemi | 13.4% | 17.5% | — | not on both |
| Riz Ahmed | 11.7% | 15.5% | — | not on both |
| John Goodman | 11.5% | 13.8% | — | not on both |
| Jason Bateman | 8% | — | 8% | not on both |
| Skyler Gisondo | 8% | 10.5% | — | not on both |
| Patrick Ball | 7% | — | 7% | not on both |
| Richard Gadd | 7% | — | 7% | not on both |
| Shawn Hatosy | 7% | — | 7% | not on both |
| Paul W. Downs | 5% | — | 5% | not on both |
| James Ortiz | 4.6% | 6% | — | not on both |
| Antonio Banderas | 4.5% | 4.5% | — | not on both |
| Charles Melton | 4.5% | 4.4% | 10% | — |
| Robert De Niro | 4.2% | 5.6% | — | not on both |
| Nick Offerman | 4% | — | 4% | not on both |
| Jeremy Strong | 3.5% | 4.6% | — | not on both |
| Adam Scott | 3.5% | 4.5% | — | not on both |
| Tom Holland | 3.1% | 3.8% | — | not on both |
| Himesh Patel | 3% | 4% | — | not on both |
| Michael Fassbender | 3% | 4.2% | — | not on both |
| Miles Teller | 2.8% | 4.3% | — | not on both |
| Channing Tatum | 2.5% | 6.6% | — | not on both |
| Daniel Craig | 2.4% | 3% | — | not on both |
| Guy Pearce | 2.4% | 4.6% | — | not on both |
| Tie | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |
| Jesse Plemons | 1.6% | 2% | — | not on both |
| Travis Scott | 0.2% | 0.2% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [oscars.org](https://www.oscars.org/).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Golden Globes](https://goldenglobes.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/golden-globe-winner-best-supporting-actor-on-tv
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/oscars-2027-best-supporting-actor-winner-1754500000000?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxggwinner?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/golden-globe-winner-best-supporting-actor-on-tv

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.