# Golden Globe Winner:  Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Golden Globe Winner:  Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture". Anne Hathaway leads at 33%. Next is Amanda Seyfried at 19%. $68K has traded across 21 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 10, 2028.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T20:11:00Z (1 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 10, 2028
- Volume traded: $68K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: culture

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Anne Hathaway | 33% | 45.5% | 48% | 2.5 pts |
| Amanda Seyfried | 19% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Penélope Cruz | 9.4% | 11% | 18% | 7.0 pts |
| Tao Okamoto | 5% | 5.9% | 9% | 3.1 pts |
| Samantha Morton | 4.8% | 4.8% | 14% | 9.3 pts |
| Kate O'Flynn | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6% | 0.3 pts |
| Sandra Hüller | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6% | 1.3 pts |
| Esmé Creed-Miles | 3.5% | — | 6% | not on both |
| Glenn Close | 3.5% | — | 6% | not on both |
| Merritt Wever | 3.5% | — | 6% | not on both |
| Tie | 3.5% | — | 6% | not on both |
| Mariana di Girolamo | 2.4% | 1.6% | 6% | 4.4 pts |
| Olivia Colman | 1.8% | 0.3% | 6% | 5.8 pts |
| Inde Navarrette | 1.2% | 1.5% | — | not on both |
| Zendaya | 1% | 1.3% | — | not on both |
| Gemma Chan | 0.3% | 0.4% | — | not on both |
| Margaret Qualley | 0.2% | 0.3% | — | not on both |
| Danielle Deadwyler | 0.1% | 0.2% | — | not on both |
| Isabella Rossellini | 0.1% | 0.2% | — | not on both |
| Parker Posey | 0.1% | 0.2% | — | not on both |
| Betty Gilpin | 0% | 0.1% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [oscars.org](https://www.oscars.org/).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Golden Globes](https://goldenglobes.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/golden-globe-winner-best-supporting-actress-in-a-motion-picture
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/oscars-2027-best-supporting-actress-winner-1754500000000?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxggwinner?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/golden-globe-winner-best-supporting-actress-in-a-motion-picture

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.