# Golden Globe Winner:  Best Supporting Actress on TV: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Golden Globe Winner:  Best Supporting Actress on TV". Penélope Cruz leads at 61.7%. Next is Anne Hathaway at 56.5%. $227K has traded across 28 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 10, 2028.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:12:00Z (2 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 10, 2028
- Volume traded: $227K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: culture

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Penélope Cruz | 61.7% | 83.5% | — | not on both |
| Anne Hathaway | 56.5% | 89.5% | — | not on both |
| Samantha Morton | 55.2% | 72% | — | not on both |
| Amanda Seyfried | 50.1% | 59.5% | — | not on both |
| Kate O'Flynn | 42.4% | 45.5% | 59% | — |
| Linda Cardellini | 26% | — | 26% | not on both |
| Olivia Colman | 24.1% | 32% | — | not on both |
| Mariana di Girolamo | 23.3% | 30.5% | — | not on both |
| Merritt Wever | 23% | 23% | — | not on both |
| Tao Okamoto | 19.8% | 61.5% | — | not on both |
| Gemma Chan | 15.8% | 21% | — | not on both |
| Sandra Hüller | 15.3% | 27.5% | — | not on both |
| Parker Posey | 6% | 8% | — | not on both |
| Allison Janney | 6% | — | 6% | not on both |
| Betty Gilpin | 5.6% | 7.5% | — | not on both |
| Zendaya | 5.6% | 7% | — | not on both |
| Katherine LaNasa | 4% | — | 4% | not on both |
| Hannah Einbinder | 3% | — | 3% | not on both |
| Michelle Pfeiffer | 3% | — | 3% | not on both |
| Danielle Deadwyler | 2.9% | 3.8% | — | not on both |
| Inde Navarrette | 2.6% | 4.6% | — | not on both |
| Youn Yuh-jung | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |
| Margaret Qualley | 1.9% | 5.8% | — | not on both |
| Isabella Rossellini | 1.6% | 5.6% | — | not on both |
| Constance Zimmer | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Jessica Williams | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Joy Sunday | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Tie | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [oscars.org](https://www.oscars.org/).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Golden Globes](https://goldenglobes.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/golden-globe-winner-best-supporting-actress-on-tv
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/oscars-2027-best-supporting-actress-winner-1754500000000?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxggwinner?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/golden-globe-winner-best-supporting-actress-on-tv

---
Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.