# Golden Globes 2027: Best Actress – Musical or Comedy Winner: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Golden Globes 2027: Best Actress – Musical or Comedy Winner". Julianne Moore leads at 81.6%. Next is Jean Smart at 55%. $64K has traded across 26 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 11, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-14T00:44:31Z (9 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 11, 2027
- Volume traded: $64K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: culture

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Julianne Moore | 81.6% | 80.5% | 74% | — |
| Jean Smart | 55% | — | 55% | not on both |
| Elle Fanning | 41% | — | 41% | not on both |
| Olivia Wilde | 27.7% | 3.9% | 8% | — |
| Inde Navarrette | 26% | 3.9% | 10% | — |
| Olivia Colman | 23.2% | 3.8% | 2% | — |
| Zendaya | 20.2% | 3.9% | 2% | — |
| Marion Bailey | 13.5% | 3.9% | 1% | — |
| Meryl Streep | 12.8% | 3.9% | 2% | — |
| Keke Palmer | 10% | — | 10% | not on both |
| Rosalind Eleazar | 7.9% | 5.5% | 1% | — |
| Ayo Edebiri | 7% | — | 7% | not on both |
| Natalie Portman | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1% | — |
| Lisa Kudrow | 6% | — | 6% | not on both |
| Anne Hathaway | 5% | 4% | 1% | — |
| Jodie Comer | 5% | 4% | 1% | — |
| Rachel McAdams | 4.8% | 7.2% | 2% | — |
| Jenna Ortega | 3% | — | 3% | not on both |
| Natasha Lyonne | 3% | — | 3% | not on both |
| Hannah Einbinder | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |
| Kristen Bell | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |
| Quinta Brunson | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |
| Tie | 1.2% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Kristen Wiig | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Rinko Kikuchi | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Selena Gomez | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Golden Globes](https://goldenglobes.com/).

## Settlement rules

The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by Dick Clark Productions. For the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 7, 2026, and the ceremony for January 10, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed person who wins Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards.

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated person whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the Golden Globe Awards and the official Golden Globes website (https://www.goldenglobes.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/golden-globes-2027-best-actress-musical-or-comedy-winner
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/golden-globes-2027-best-actress-musical-or-comedy-winner?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxggnom?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/golden-globes-2027-best-actress-musical-or-comedy-winner

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.