# Golden Globes 2027: Best Actress – Television Drama Nominees: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Golden Globes 2027: Best Actress – Television Drama Nominees". Keri Russell leads at 90%. Next is The Pitt at 74%. $59K has traded across 24 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 8, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-15T14:39:41Z (13 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 8, 2026
- Volume traded: $59K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: culture

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Keri Russell | 90% | 84% | 96% | 12.0 pts |
| The Pitt | 74% | — | 95% | not on both |
| Zendaya | 62.5% | 50% | 75% | 25.0 pts |
| Chase Infiniti | 60% | 50% | 70% | 20.0 pts |
| Emmy Rossum | 51% | 51% | — | not on both |
| Carrie Coon | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0.0 pts |
| DEACTIVATED | 50% | — | 50% | not on both |
| Michelle Pfeiffer | 48% | 50% | 46% | 4.0 pts |
| Slow Horses | 46% | — | 88% | not on both |
| Emma D’Arcy | 44.5% | 50% | 39% | 11.0 pts |
| Myha’la | 37.5% | 50% | 25% | 25.0 pts |
| The Diplomat | 36.5% | — | 98% | not on both |
| A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms | 35.1% | — | 79% | not on both |
| Nicole Kidman | 32.5% | 50% | 15% | 35.0 pts |
| Rebecca Ferguson | 32.5% | 50% | 15% | 35.0 pts |
| The Gilded Age | 32.3% | — | 42% | not on both |
| Cynthia Erivo | 29% | 50.5% | 7.5% | 43.0 pts |
| Paradise | 18% | — | 60% | not on both |
| House of the Dragon | 16.5% | — | 16% | not on both |
| Kathy Bates | 13% | 16% | 12% | 4.0 pts |
| Your Friends & Neighbors | 4.5% | — | 14% | not on both |
| Euphoria | 2% | — | 5% | not on both |
| Tie | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Pluribus | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Golden Globes](https://goldenglobes.com/).

## Settlement rules

The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by Dick Clark Productions. For the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 7, 2026, and the ceremony for January 10, 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person is nominated for Best Actress in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are announced by January 10, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source will be the official Golden Globes website (https://www.goldenglobes.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/golden-globes-2027-best-actress-television-drama-nominees
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/golden-globes-2027-best-actress-television-drama-nominees?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxggwinner?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/golden-globes-2027-best-actress-television-drama-nominees

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.