# Golden Globes 2027: Best Television Series – Comedy or Musical Winner: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Golden Globes 2027: Best Television Series – Comedy or Musical Winner". Widow's Bay leads at 59.4%. Next is The Studio at 8%. $15K has traded across 11 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 11, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-15T05:09:41Z (27 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 11, 2027
- Volume traded: $15K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: culture

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Widow's Bay | 59.4% | 72% | 75% | 3.0 pts |
| The Studio | 8% | 10.5% | 10% | 0.5 pts |
| Hacks | 7.2% | 14% | 8% | 6.0 pts |
| The Bear | 6.1% | 15.7% | 6% | 9.7 pts |
| Rooster | 3.6% | 16.9% | 2% | 14.9 pts |
| Shrinking | 3.4% | 15.5% | 2% | 13.5 pts |
| Ted Lasso | 3.1% | 13.5% | 2% | 11.5 pts |
| Only Murders in the Building | 3% | 12.6% | 2% | 10.6 pts |
| Nobody Wants This | 2.3% | 7% | 2% | 5.0 pts |
| Abbott Elementary | 2.1% | 5.7% | 2% | 3.7 pts |
| Tie | 1.8% | — | 2% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Golden Globes](https://goldenglobes.com/).

## Settlement rules

The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by Dick Clark Productions. For the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 7, 2026, and the ceremony for January 10, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed series that wins Best Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards.

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated series whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the Golden Globe Awards and the official Golden Globes website (https://www.goldenglobes.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/golden-globes-2027-best-television-series-comedy-or-musical-winner
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/golden-globes-2027-best-television-series-comedy-or-musical-winner?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxggwinner?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/golden-globes-2027-best-television-series-comedy-or-musical-winner

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.
