# GOLDEN HOUR: Part.6: First Week Album Equivalent Units: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "GOLDEN HOUR: Part.6: First Week Album Equivalent Units". Above 20K leads at 99%. Next is Above 40K at 99%. $1K has traded across 20 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 22, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T03:50:40Z (12 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 22, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: culture

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Above 20K | 99% | 99% |
| Above 40K | 99% | 99% |
| Above 60K | 97% | 97% |
| Above 80K | 95% | 95% |
| Above 100K | 82% | 82% |
| Above 120K | 69% | 69% |
| Above 140K | 62% | 62% |
| Above 160K | 62% | 62% |
| Above 180K | 56% | 56% |
| Above 200K | 32% | 32% |
| Above 220K | 26% | 26% |
| Above 240K | 21% | 21% |
| Above 260K | 17% | 17% |
| Above 280K | 14% | 14% |
| Above 300K | 6% | 6% |
| Above 320K | 5% | 5% |
| Above 360K | 5% | 5% |
| Above 340K | 2% | 2% |
| Above 380K | 2% | 2% |
| Above 400K | 2% | 2% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Luminate](https://luminatedata.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/golden-hour-part6-first-week-album-equivalent-units
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxalbumequiv?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/golden-hour-part6-first-week-album-equivalent-units

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.