# Grêmio FBPA vs. EC Bahia: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Grêmio FBPA vs. EC Bahia". Grêmio FBPA leads at 42.5%. Next is EC Bahia at 31%. $1K has traded across 3 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 19, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-12T23:10:25Z (1 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 19, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Grêmio FBPA | 42.5% | 42.5% |
| EC Bahia | 31% | 31% |
| Grêmio FBPA | 26.5% | 26.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [cbf.com.br](https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/campeonato-brasileiro-serie-a).

## Settlement rules

In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between Grêmio FBPA and EC Bahia, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 18, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/grêmio-fbpa-vs-ec-bahia
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/bra-gre-bah-2026-11-18?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/grêmio-fbpa-vs-ec-bahia

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.