# Grammy Winner · Best Pop Solo Performance: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Grammy Winner · Best Pop Solo Performance". the cure - Olivia Rodrigo leads at 84.5%. Next is The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift at 80%. $4K has traded across 26 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 31, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T14:48:40Z (8 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 31, 2027
- Volume traded: $4K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: culture

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| the cure - Olivia Rodrigo | 84.5% | 84.5% | — | not on both |
| The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift | 80% | 80% | — | not on both |
| Risk It All - Bruno Mars | 60.5% | 60.5% | — | not on both |
| hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande | 41% | 41% | — | not on both |
| Man I Need | 33% | — | 33% | not on both |
| The Fate of Ophelia | 22.5% | — | 22.5% | not on both |
| Sauvignon Blanc - Rosalia | 21.3% | 21.3% | — | not on both |
| Aperture - Harry Styles | 20.5% | 20.5% | — | not on both |
| Mature - Hilary Duff | 14.9% | 14.9% | — | not on both |
| WHERE IS MY HUSBAND! | 13% | — | 13% | not on both |
| FEVER DREAM - Alex Warren | 10.7% | 10.7% | — | not on both |
| Be Her - Ella Langley | 7.5% | 7.5% | — | not on both |
| Hit The Wall - Gracie Abrams | 7.5% | 7.5% | — | not on both |
| iloveitiloveitiloveit - Bella Kay | 6.5% | 6.5% | — | not on both |
| Speed Demon - JUS | 6.5% | 6.5% | — | not on both |
| Zoo - Shakira | 6.5% | 6.5% | — | not on both |
| Chanel - Tyla | 6.1% | 6.1% | — | not on both |
| BEAT UP CHANEL$ | 4% | — | 4% | not on both |
| I Just Might | 4% | — | 4% | not on both |
| Less Than A Lover - JENNIE | 3.4% | 3.4% | — | not on both |
| Drop Dead | 3% | — | 3% | not on both |
| Die On This Hill | 2.5% | — | 2.5% | not on both |
| Chains of Love | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |
| Cherry | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |
| Dopamine | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |
| Tie | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Recording Academy](https://www.grammy.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/grammy-winner-best-pop-solo-performance
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/grammys-2027-pop-solo-performance-nominations-20261116?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgrammy?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/grammy-winner-best-pop-solo-performance

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.