# Grok App Downloads in November 2026: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Grok App Downloads in November 2026". Above 24 leads at 86.5%. Next is Above 36.5 at 70%. $3K has traded across 8 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 8, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:18:00Z (1 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 8, 2026
- Volume traded: $3K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: economics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Above 24 | 86.5% | 86.5% |
| Above 36.5 | 70% | 70% |
| Above 44.5 | 62% | 62% |
| Above 53 | 38.5% | 38.5% |
| Above 63 | 33.5% | 33.5% |
| Above 139 | 17.5% | 17.5% |
| Above 75 | 16% | 16% |
| Above 91.5 | 13% | 13% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Carbon Arc](https://www.carbonarc.co/prisms?prism=fba7a204-cb75-490a-b49b-d8595b986eff&entity=Grok%3A+AI+Assistant).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/grok-app-downloads-in-november-2026
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgrokapp?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/grok-app-downloads-in-november-2026

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.