# GTA VI Online released by...?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "GTA VI Online released by...?". June 30, 2027 leads at 67.2%. Next is December 31, 2026 at 32.8%. $1K has traded across 2 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-10T07:47:05Z (1 d ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 1, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| June 30, 2027 | 67.2% | 63.5% |
| December 31, 2026 | 32.8% | 31% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any form of online multiplayer for Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

“Online multiplayer” refers to any official mode in which multiple players can play Grand Theft Auto VI together online, whether as part of the base game or as a separate online title such as a new GTA Online.

For the purposes of this market, “release” refers to the online multiplayer becoming publicly available for purchase, download, or play in the US. Open betas available to the general public will count. Closed betas, early access, technical tests, other forms of private or pre-release access, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.

The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/gta-vi-online-released-by
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/gta-vi-online-released-by?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/gta-vi-online-released-by

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.