# Gurenko vs Hamel-Van Dun: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Gurenko vs Hamel-Van Dun". Yes leads at 58.5%. Next is Volodymyr Gurenko at 58%. $12K has traded across 3 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 23, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-09T15:44:20Z (10 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 23, 2026
- Volume traded: $12K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Yes | 58.5% | 58.5% | — | not on both |
| Volodymyr Gurenko | 58% | — | 58% | not on both |
| Mathias Hamel-Van Dun | 36% | — | 36% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [itftennis.com](https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com), [ITF](https://www.itftennis.com/en/), [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/gurenko-vs-hamel-van-dun
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/itf-gurenk1-dun1-2026-11-09?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxitfmatch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/gurenko-vs-hamel-van-dun

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.