# Hamburg vs M´gladbach: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Hamburg vs M´gladbach". Hamburg leads at 39.3%. Next is M'gladbach at 34.4%. $4K has traded across 3 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 8, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T20:59:00Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 8, 2026
- Volume traded: $4K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Hamburg | 39.3% | 39.5% | 40% | 0.5 pts |
| M'gladbach | 34.4% | 34.5% | 35% | 0.5 pts |
| Draw | 26.3% | 26% | 27% | 1.0 pts |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [bundesliga.com](https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com/), [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/hamburg-vs-mgladbach
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/bun-hsv-moe-2026-11-06?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbundesligagame?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/hamburg-vs-mgladbach

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.