# Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals in 2027: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals in 2027". Above 9.4 million leads at 85%. Next is Above 9.6 million at 70%. $1K has traded across 5 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 31, 2028.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T20:07:00Z (1 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 31, 2028
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: economics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Above 9.4 million | 85% | 85% |
| Above 9.6 million | 70% | 70% |
| Above 9.8 million | 44% | 44% |
| Above 10.0 million | 16% | 16% |
| Above 10.2 million | 10% | 10% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Hawaii Department of Business, Economic Development & Tourism](https://dbedt.hawaii.gov/economic/tourism/monthly-statistics/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/hawaiis-total-visitor-arrivals-in-2027
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhivisitors?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/hawaiis-total-visitor-arrivals-in-2027

---
Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.