# Hikaru Shiraishi vs Ognjen Milic: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Hikaru Shiraishi vs Ognjen Milic". Matsuyama: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Ognjen Milic leads at 69.5%. Next is Ognjen Milic at 56%. $8K has traded across 12 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 24, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-09T18:43:20Z (12 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 24, 2026
- Volume traded: $8K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Matsuyama: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Ognjen Milic | 69.5% | 69.5% | — | not on both |
| Ognjen Milic | 56% | — | 56% | not on both |
| Matsuyama: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Ognjen Milic | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Matsuyama: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Ognjen Milic | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Matsuyama: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Ognjen Milic | 45% | 45% | — | not on both |
| Matsuyama: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Ognjen Milic | 44.5% | 44.5% | — | not on both |
| Hikaru Shiraishi | 44% | — | 44% | not on both |
| Matsuyama: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Ognjen Milic | 43.5% | 43.5% | — | not on both |
| Matsuyama: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Ognjen Milic | 42.5% | 42.5% | — | not on both |
| Matsuyama: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Ognjen Milic | 37% | 37% | — | not on both |
| Matsuyama: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Ognjen Milic | 36% | 36% | — | not on both |
| Matsuyama: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Ognjen Milic | 25.5% | 25.5% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [atptour.com](https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ATP](https://www.atptour.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/hikaru-shiraishi-vs-ognjen-milic
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-shirais-milic-2026-11-09?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxatpchallengermatch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/hikaru-shiraishi-vs-ognjen-milic

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.