# How high will BTC get in November?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "How high will BTC get in November?". 77,500 leads at 88.6%. Next is 75,000 at 81.1%. $2.6M has traded across 19 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-03T08:48:53Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 1, 2026
- Volume traded: $2.6M
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: crypto

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 77,500 | 88.6% | 88.6% | — | not on both |
| 75,000 | 81.1% | 80.5% | 83% | 2.5 pts |
| 80,000 | 65.6% | 65.5% | 66% | 0.5 pts |
| 72,500 | 58.9% | 58.5% | 60% | 1.5 pts |
| 82,500 | 45.7% | 45.5% | 46% | 0.5 pts |
| 70,000 | 38.6% | 38.5% | 39% | 0.5 pts |
| 85,000 | 30.7% | 30.5% | 31% | 0.5 pts |
| 67,500 | 25.4% | 25.5% | 25% | 0.5 pts |
| 87,500 | 19.7% | 18.5% | 21% | 2.5 pts |
| 65,000 | 16.7% | 17.5% | 15% | 2.5 pts |
| 90,000 | 14.8% | 11.5% | 16% | 4.5 pts |
| 62,500 | 10.9% | 11.5% | 9% | 2.5 pts |
| 92,500 | 9.4% | 7.5% | 10% | 2.5 pts |
| 60,000 | 8.3% | 9% | 6% | 3.0 pts |
| 95,000 | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6% | 1.5 pts |
| 57,500 | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5% | 0.4 pts |
| 97,500 | 4.2% | 2.9% | 5% | 2.1 pts |
| 55,000 | 3.1% | 3.1% | — | not on both |
| 100,000 | 2% | 2% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [binance.com](https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [CF Benchmarks](https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/how-high-will-btc-get-in-november
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-november-2026?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbtcminmon?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/how-high-will-btc-get-in-november

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.