# How high will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Nov 30, 2026?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "How high will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Nov 30, 2026?". 5.38% or above leads at 43%. Next is 5.39% or above at 42%. $1K has traded across 30 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 30, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-06T17:43:03Z (3 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 30, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: economics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| 5.38% or above | 43% | 43% |
| 5.39% or above | 42% | 42% |
| 5.41% or above | 42% | 42% |
| 5.4% or above | 39% | 39% |
| 5.42% or above | 39% | 39% |
| 5.45% or above | 34% | 34% |
| 5.43% or above | 31% | 31% |
| 5.46% or above | 30% | 30% |
| 5.44% or above | 29% | 29% |
| 5.49% or above | 26% | 26% |
| 5.47% or above | 23% | 23% |
| 5.48% or above | 23% | 23% |
| 5.53% or above | 21% | 21% |
| 5.51% or above | 18% | 18% |
| 5.57% or above | 16% | 16% |
| 5.5% or above | 14% | 14% |
| 5.52% or above | 14% | 14% |
| 5.54% or above | 14% | 14% |
| 5.55% or above | 13.5% | 13.5% |
| 5.56% or above | 13% | 13% |
| 5.61% or above | 12% | 12% |
| 5.58% or above | 10% | 10% |
| 5.59% or above | 9% | 9% |
| 5.65% or above | 9% | 9% |
| 5.6% or above | 8.5% | 8.5% |
| 5.62% or above | 6.5% | 6.5% |
| 5.63% or above | 6.5% | 6.5% |
| 5.64% or above | 6.5% | 6.5% |
| 5.66% or above | 3.5% | 3.5% |
| 5.67% or above | 3.5% | 3.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [U.S. Department of the Treasury](https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/how-high-will-the-30-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-nov-30-2026
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx30yrdirhm?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/how-high-will-the-30-year-us-treasury-yield-get-by-nov-30-2026

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.