# How high will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Nov 2026?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "How high will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Nov 2026?". 4.96% or above leads at 68%. Next is 4.97% or above at 64.5%. $1K has traded across 30 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 30, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-11T18:48:05Z (1 d ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 30, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: economics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| 4.96% or above | 68% | 68% |
| 4.97% or above | 64.5% | 64.5% |
| 4.98% or above | 61% | 61% |
| 4.99% or above | 57% | 57% |
| 5% or above | 53.5% | 53.5% |
| 5.01% or above | 50% | 50% |
| 5.03% or above | 42% | 42% |
| 5.04% or above | 38% | 38% |
| 5.05% or above | 34% | 34% |
| 5.02% or above | 32% | 32% |
| 5.06% or above | 30% | 30% |
| 5.08% or above | 22.5% | 22.5% |
| 5.09% or above | 21% | 21% |
| 5.07% or above | 19% | 19% |
| 5.11% or above | 17.5% | 17.5% |
| 5.12% or above | 15.5% | 15.5% |
| 5.13% or above | 14.5% | 14.5% |
| 5.14% or above | 13.5% | 13.5% |
| 5.15% or above | 12.5% | 12.5% |
| 5.1% or above | 12% | 12% |
| 5.16% or above | 11.5% | 11.5% |
| 5.17% or above | 10.5% | 10.5% |
| 5.18% or above | 10% | 10% |
| 5.19% or above | 9% | 9% |
| 5.2% or above | 7.5% | 7.5% |
| 5.21% or above | 7% | 7% |
| 5.22% or above | 6.5% | 6.5% |
| 5.23% or above | 6% | 6% |
| 5.24% or above | 5.5% | 5.5% |
| 5.25% or above | 5% | 5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [U.S. Department of the Treasury](https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/how-high-will-the-7-year-us-treasury-yield-get-in-nov-2026
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx7yrdirhm?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/how-high-will-the-7-year-us-treasury-yield-get-in-nov-2026

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.