# How low will BTC get in November?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "How low will BTC get in November?". 82,500 leads at 80.2%. Next is 77,500 at 68.5%. $3.7M has traded across 18 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T00:17:38Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 1, 2026
- Volume traded: $3.7M
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: crypto

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 82,500 | 80.2% | 80.5% | 80% | 0.5 pts |
| 77,500 | 68.5% | 68.5% | — | not on both |
| 85,000 | 57.7% | 57.5% | 58% | 0.5 pts |
| 75,000 | 46.9% | 46.5% | 48% | 1.5 pts |
| 87,500 | 37.6% | 36.5% | 39% | 2.5 pts |
| 72,500 | 30.9% | 30.5% | 32% | 1.5 pts |
| 90,000 | 26.5% | 25.5% | 27% | 1.5 pts |
| 70,000 | 19.6% | 19.5% | 20% | 0.5 pts |
| 92,500 | 17.4% | 15.5% | 18% | 2.5 pts |
| 67,500 | 12.1% | 12.5% | 11% | 1.5 pts |
| 95,000 | 10.2% | 9.4% | 11% | 1.7 pts |
| 65,000 | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9% | 0.5 pts |
| 62,500 | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6% | 0.5 pts |
| 97,500 | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6% | 0.2 pts |
| 60,000 | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4% | 0.5 pts |
| 100,000 | 3.5% | 3.5% | — | not on both |
| 57,500 | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4% | 1.1 pts |
| 55,000 | 2% | 2% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [binance.com](https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [CF Benchmarks](https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/how-low-will-btc-get-in-november
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-november-2026?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbtcminmon?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/how-low-will-btc-get-in-november

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.