# How low will ETH get in November?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "How low will ETH get in November?". 2,400 leads at 93%. Next is 2,500 at 77.9%. $825K has traded across 31 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T00:05:00Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 1, 2026
- Volume traded: $825K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: crypto

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2,400 | 93% | 93% | — | not on both |
| 2,500 | 77.9% | 77.5% | 79% | 1.5 pts |
| 2,300 | 67% | 67% | — | not on both |
| 2,600 | 58% | 58% | — | not on both |
| 2,200 | 46.5% | 46.5% | — | not on both |
| 2,700 | 37% | 37% | — | not on both |
| Above $2,750.00 | 37% | — | 37% | not on both |
| 2,100 | 28.5% | 28.5% | — | not on both |
| 2,800 | 24% | 24% | — | not on both |
| 2,000 | 18.4% | 17.5% | 21% | 3.5 pts |
| 2,900 | 15.5% | 15.5% | — | not on both |
| 3,000 | 14.5% | 12% | 17% | 5.0 pts |
| 1,900 | 13.5% | 13.5% | — | not on both |
| 1,800 | 8.5% | 8.5% | — | not on both |
| 3,100 | 6.8% | 6.8% | — | not on both |
| Above $3,250.00 | 6% | — | 6% | not on both |
| Below $1,750.00 | 6% | — | 6% | not on both |
| 1,700 | 5.5% | 5.5% | — | not on both |
| 1,600 | 4.1% | 4.1% | — | not on both |
| Above $4,000.00 | 3% | — | 3% | not on both |
| 3,500 | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4% | 1.8 pts |
| 1,500 | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3% | 1.2 pts |
| Above $3,750.00 | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Above $4,250.00 | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Below $1,000.00 | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Below $1,250.00 | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Below $750.00 | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| 1,400 | 0.9% | 0.9% | — | not on both |
| 1,300 | 0.7% | 0.7% | — | not on both |
| Below $250.00 | 0.5% | — | 0.5% | not on both |
| Below $500.00 | 0.5% | — | 0.5% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [binance.com](https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [CF Benchmarks](https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/how-low-will-eth-get-in-november
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-november-2026?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxethminmon?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/how-low-will-eth-get-in-november

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.
