# How low will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Nov 2026?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "How low will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Nov 2026?". 4.68% or below leads at 60%. Next is 4.67% or below at 57%. $1K has traded across 15 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 30, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-10T04:20:05Z (1 d ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 30, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: economics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| 4.68% or below | 60% | 60% |
| 4.67% or below | 57% | 57% |
| 4.69% or below | 56% | 56% |
| 4.66% or below | 53.5% | 53.5% |
| 4.64% or below | 48.5% | 48.5% |
| 4.63% or below | 45% | 45% |
| 4.62% or below | 43% | 43% |
| 4.61% or below | 40.5% | 40.5% |
| 4.6% or below | 37.5% | 37.5% |
| 4.65% or below | 36% | 36% |
| 4.58% or below | 33.5% | 33.5% |
| 4.57% or below | 31.5% | 31.5% |
| 4.59% or below | 25% | 25% |
| 4.56% or below | 15% | 15% |
| 4.55% or below | 13% | 13% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [U.S. Department of the Treasury](https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).

## Settlement rules

Kalshi event status: open

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/how-low-will-the-7-year-us-treasury-yield-get-in-nov-2026
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx7yrdirlm?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/how-low-will-the-7-year-us-treasury-yield-get-in-nov-2026

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.