# How low will Trump's approval rating get during his term?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "How low will Trump's approval rating get during his term?". Below 36% leads at 98%. Next is Below 35% at 91%. $1K has traded across 7 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 27, 2029.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-09T07:48:20Z (7 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 27, 2029
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Below 36% | 98% | 98% |
| Below 35% | 91% | 91% |
| Below 34% | 79% | 79% |
| Below 33% | 75% | 75% |
| Below 32% | 57% | 57% |
| Below 31% | 56% | 56% |
| Below 30% | 39% | 39% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [VoteHub](https://votehub.com/polls/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/how-low-will-trumps-approval-rating-get-during-his-term
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpapprovalbelow?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/how-low-will-trumps-approval-rating-get-during-his-term

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.