# How low will US gas prices get in Nov 2026?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "How low will US gas prices get in Nov 2026?". Below $4.15 leads at 99%. Next is Below $4.10 at 98%. $52K has traded across 14 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 30, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:18:00Z (1 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 30, 2026
- Volume traded: $52K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: economics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Below $4.15 | 99% | 99% |
| Below $4.10 | 98% | 98% |
| Below $4.05 | 95% | 95% |
| Below $4.00 | 79% | 79% |
| Below $3.95 | 71% | 71% |
| Below $3.90 | 60% | 60% |
| Below $3.85 | 51% | 51% |
| Below $3.80 | 49% | 49% |
| Below $3.75 | 31% | 31% |
| Below $3.70 | 25% | 25% |
| Below $3.65 | 17% | 17% |
| Below $3.60 | 15% | 15% |
| Below $3.55 | 10% | 10% |
| Below $3.50 | 7% | 7% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [AAA](https://gasprices.aaa.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/how-low-will-us-gas-prices-get-in-nov-2026
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaaagasminm?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/how-low-will-us-gas-prices-get-in-nov-2026

---
Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.