# How many articles will Pete Hegseth be impeached on?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "How many articles will Pete Hegseth be impeached on?". June 30, 2027 leads at 83%. Next is March 31, 2027 at 78%. $629K has traded across 7 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-10T21:53:05Z (11 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 1, 2027
- Volume traded: $629K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| June 30, 2027 | 83% | 83% | — | not on both |
| March 31, 2027 | 78% | 78% | — | not on both |
| December 31, 2026 | 62.1% | 62.1% | — | not on both |
| At least 1 | 62% | — | 62% | not on both |
| At least 5 | 59% | — | 59% | not on both |
| At least 8 | 41% | — | 41% | not on both |
| At least 3 | 36% | — | 36% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [United States Congress](https://www.congress.gov/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/how-many-articles-will-pete-hegseth-be-impeached-on
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/pete-hegseth-impeached-by-june-30?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhegsethimpeacharticles?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/how-many-articles-will-pete-hegseth-be-impeached-on

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.