# How many dissenting votes at the December Fed meeting?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "How many dissenting votes at the December Fed meeting?". 0 leads at 65.7%. Next is 1 at 12.5%. $52K has traded across 6 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 9, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:19:00Z (2 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 9, 2026
- Volume traded: $52K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: economics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 0 | 65.7% | 71% | 64% | 7.0 pts |
| 1 | 12.5% | 12.3% | 16% | 3.8 pts |
| 2 | 12% | 12.2% | 14% | 1.9 pts |
| 3 | 6.1% | 5.5% | 9% | 3.5 pts |
| 4+ | 2.8% | 3.6% | 1% | 2.6 pts |
| 5 | 0.9% | — | 1% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [federalreserve.gov](https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [the Federal Reserve](https://www.federalreserve.gov).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/how-many-dissenting-votes-at-the-december-fed-meeting
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-dissent-at-the-december-fed-meeting-20260730000304473?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfomcdissentcount?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/how-many-dissenting-votes-at-the-december-fed-meeting

---
Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.