# How many federal judges will be confirmed in Nov 2026?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "How many federal judges will be confirmed in Nov 2026?". At least 1 leads at 91%. Next is At least 3 at 88%. $2K has traded across 5 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T15:50:00Z (5 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 1, 2026
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| At least 1 | 91% | 91% |
| At least 3 | 88% | 88% |
| At least 5 | 59% | 59% |
| At least 8 | 35% | 35% |
| At least 12 | 20% | 20% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Library of Congress](https://www.congress.gov/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/how-many-federal-judges-will-be-confirmed-in-nov-2026
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxjudgecount?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/how-many-federal-judges-will-be-confirmed-in-nov-2026

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.